According to an Axios report by Josh Kraushaar, which cited a New York Times/Siena College poll. Democrats are now most favored by white college-educated Americans as Republicans are increasingly favored by the nation’s non-college-educated voters and Hispanic Americans.
We’re seeing a political realignment in real-time.
- Democrats are the party of upscale voters concerned more about issues like gun control and abortion rights.
- Republicans are quietly building a multiracial coalition of working-class voters, with inflation as an accelerant.
House Republicans boast this year’s class of new candidates is the most diverse in history.
- The NRCC notes that 29 of its 75 House targets have a Hispanic population over 15%.
In the Times/Siena poll, Ds hold a 20-point advantage over Rs among white college-educated voters — but are statistically tied among Hispanics.
- Hispanic voters backed Democrats by a nearly 50-point margin in the 2018 midterms. In the 2016 congressional elections, Dems lost white voters with a bachelor’s degree.
President Biden’s job approval sank to 33%.
Money Talks: Dems’ fortunes are bolstered by a slice of well-off socially liberal voters who disapprove of Biden’s performance — yet reliably support Democrats for other races.
The realignment has become increasingly clear as former President Trump has massively bolstered the GOP’s support among working and middle-class Americans with an economic nationalist agenda encompassing tighter labor markets, reshoring manufacturing, reducing immigration, and a restrained foreign policy.
That agenda is hugely favored by much of the American electorate.
Under President Joe Biden, Democrats have shifted away from pocketbook issues of inflation and mass immigration toward social justice causes like the promotion of transgenderism, Critical Race Theory in education, gun control, and abortion rights.
The result has been a move among Hispanic Americans and other non-white college-educated voters toward the Republican Party with its midterm election focus on inflation, the cost of living, and record-setting levels of illegal immigration that have flooded the United States labor market.